Package: coalitions 0.6.27

Andreas Bender

coalitions: Bayesian "Now-Cast" Estimation of Event Probabilities in Multi-Party Democracies

An implementation of a Bayesian framework for the opinion poll based estimation of event probabilities in multi-party electoral systems (Bender and Bauer (2018) <doi:10.21105/joss.00606>).

Authors:Andreas Bender [aut, cre], Alexander Bauer [aut], Rebekka Schade [ctb]

coalitions_0.6.27.tar.gz
coalitions_0.6.27.zip(r-4.7)coalitions_0.6.27.zip(r-4.6)coalitions_0.6.27.zip(r-4.5)
coalitions_0.6.27.tgz(r-4.6-any)coalitions_0.6.27.tgz(r-4.5-any)
coalitions_0.6.27.tar.gz(r-4.7-any)coalitions_0.6.27.tar.gz(r-4.6-any)
coalitions_0.6.27.tgz(r-4.6-emscripten)
manual.pdf |manual.html✨
card.svg |card.png
coalitions/json (API)
NEWS

# Install 'coalitions' in R:

install.packages('coalitions', repos = c('https://koala-lmu.r-universe.dev', 'https://cloud.r-project.org'))

Bug tracker:https://github.com/koala-lmu/coalitions/issues

Pkgdown/docs site:https://koala-lmu.github.io

Datasets:

party_colors_de - Colors for German parties
party_labels_de - Labels for German parties
surveys_sample - Sample of selected surveys

On CRAN:

coalition-probabilities election-analysis elections

6.40 score 24 stars 100 scripts 529 downloads 32 exports 44 dependencies

Last updated from:c4a47e8c82. Checks:9 OK. Indexed: yes.

Target	Result	Time
linux-devel-x86_64	OK	149
source / vignettes	OK	162
linux-release-x86_64	OK	147
macos-release-arm64	OK	190
macos-oldrel-arm64	OK	159
windows-devel	OK	154
windows-release	OK	88
windows-oldrel	OK	90
wasm-release	OK	105

Exports:%>%as_survey calculate_prob calculate_probs collapse_parties dHondt draw_from_posterior get_entryprobability get_latest get_meta get_probabilities get_seats get_surveys get_surveys_brb get_surveys_by get_surveys_nds get_surveys_rp get_surveys_saxony get_surveys_thuringen gg_survey hare_niemeyer have_majority pool_surveys prettify_de prettify_en prettify_strings redistribute scrape_by scrape_ltw scrape_rp scrape_wahlrecht sls

Dependencies:askpass backports checkmate cli cpp11 curl dplyr farver generics ggplot2 glue gtable gtools httr isoband jsonlite labeling lifecycle lubridate magrittr mime openssl pillar pkgconfig purrr R6 RColorBrewer rlang rvest S7 scales selectr stringi stringr sys tibble tidyr tidyselect timechange utf8 vctrs viridisLite withr xml2

Citation

Development and contributors

Readme and manuals

Help Manual

Help page	Topics
Calculate coalition probability from majority table	calculate_prob
Calculate coalition probabilities for multiple coalitions	calculate_probs
Transform surveys in long format	collapse_parties
Seat Distribution by D'Hondt	dHondt
Draw random numbers from posterior distribution	draw_from_posterior
Wrapper for calculation of coalition probabilities from survey	get_probabilities
Calculate seat distribution from draws from posterior	get_seats
Scrape surveys from all pollsters	get_latest get_surveys get_surveys_brb get_surveys_by get_surveys_nds get_surveys_rp get_surveys_saxony get_surveys_thuringen
Plot voter shares observed in one survey	gg_survey
Seat Distribution by Hare/Niemeyer	hare_niemeyer
Do coalitions have a majority	have_majority
Colors for German parties	party_colors_de
Labels for German parties	party_labels_de
Obtain pooled survey during specified period	pool_surveys
Calculate percentage of votes/seats after excluding parties with 'votes < hurdle'	redistribute
Scrape surveys for German general election	scrape_by scrape_ltw scrape_rp scrape_wahlrecht
Seat Distribution by Sainte-Lague/Schepers	sls
Sample of selected surveys	surveys_sample
Try call of read_html that throws an error if the url cannot be resolved	try_readHTML